Showing posts with label Cyclone Prediction. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Cyclone Prediction. Show all posts

Friday, May 12, 2023

IndIan Media has converted India into Bogusland

Cyclone Mocha: Indian Media Has Converted India into BogusLand with the help of Indian Institutions like IMD and NDRF.

At the onset, it is better to inform you about 2 basic facts. 

1. Tropical cyclones originate over warm tropical sea waters.

 2. Internationally tropical seas are broken Into fiefdoms of few big meteorology offices and Northern Indian Ocean  along with bay of Bengal and Arabian sea falls under Indian Met Office... since colonial era.

So IMD has authority to name a tropical Storm, whenever it wants to.

What is unethical of IMD is declare early forecasts as sacrosanct track of cyclone . 

And Indian Media being a garbage magnet , picks up every fictional story like fleas pick up weak and feeble dog.

NDRF is bunch of hardly literate soldiers taken from Army who are never trained but always deployed on the basis of stupid IMD forecasts . 

Do The NDRF or Media understand the "Cone of Uncertainty" in projections of cyclone tracks? Let me share the current projections..

 


I have shared the current sea surface temperature (SST) from where it is getting its cyclonic energy, here.

What Is the point of Deploying 8 contingents of NDRF in West Bengal ,  when Mocha will be making Landfall in Arakan coast of Myanmar/Burma ?

How stupid can they get in Indian Media ? If they really want to help, NDRF teams should be in South Mizoram and they should check out flash-flood or landslide prone hillsides there and also other such places in India-Burma border.

As for Indian TV channels, they need to change their workforce, lock, stock and barrel. These lot will never learn. Bogus Land Media will keep on peddling Bogus news.


Tuesday, June 2, 2009

Climate change and Monsoon

The Change in Monsoon Rain patterns is immense this year; The Indian Met offices laughable prediction of 96% monsoon driven rainfall is becoming truly incorrect.

The driving factors of global climate are:
  • Anti-cyclones in the polar region: The ones in stretching from Antarctic to 40Th Parallel is disturbing the major accumulation of rain-clouds of the Somalia coast which comes down to Indian sub-continent as Monsoon in May to September each year. It is shearing off the clouds once every week as one anti-cyclone dissipates and another emerges in oceans south of Africa.

  • Second factor are the anti-cyclones which are being created in the pacific, they are creating weather fronts which is picking water vapor from South China Sea and their strong pull is increasing the Mean Wind speed of Monsoon wind and driving the wind straight in an easterly direction in Bay of Bengal and pushing it across Andaman Sea into Thailand & Burma.

  • Third factor is the weather of north India is being bombarded by “western disturbance” even in June (They are usually found in January to March), which is causing another change in wind shear patterns.

    From the satellite pictures you might see rain clouds over Bangladesh and say monsoon has arrived, but a look into convergence detail and wind directions will tell you the clouds are going out to the bay and over to Burma.

    Monsoon Winds in Northern Hemisphere are moving westerly (from the west to east direction), Period. Monsoon this year is not being freaky but setting the standards in warmer climate for years to come.

    So storms 1B (Bijli) and 2B(Aila) will be repeated every year with more to come. Indian government should prepare itself for a special deadly mix of Drought and Cyclones.