Showing posts with label Monsoon 2009. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Monsoon 2009. Show all posts

Sunday, July 26, 2009

Climate Change is just changing gear - watch out



Check out the IMD map, the rainfall deficiency is at 19% and that my dear is Normal by IMD standard. We must make peoples movement stronger. Our agriculture Minister had said there are 13 months of grain stock, then why do you find the prices of all pulses, rice prices going up. What about vegetables, lack of fresh vegetables will lower the immunity level and with swine flu and avian flu present in the habitat, the chance of a flu epidemic in November can not be ruled out.
We are living in a time,when having a foresight can drive you nuts. Where are models of IMD guys? why are they saying nothing about early withdrawal of Monsoon. Every publicly posted model are saying August rain will be weak. Thats good news for orissa and saurastra but real bad news for rest of India.

Met. Zone Terrain Normal Rainfall Actual Rainfall % Change
Coastal Karnataka Coastal Plain 1763.9 1866.6 5.82
Konkan & Goa Coastal Plain 1442.3 1431 -0.78
Kerala Coastal Plain 1246 1260.1 1.13
Orissa Coastal Plain 453.1 661.5 45.99
Saurashtra & kautch
+ Diu
Coastal Plain 226.2 339.1 49.91
Coastal A.P. Coastal Plain 207 143 -30.92
Tamil Nadu & Pondi. Coastal Plain 89.2 76.8 -13.90
Coastal Plain Total 5427.7 5778.1 6.46
Gangetic W.B. Grain bowl 465.6 273.3 -41.30
Bihar Grain bowl 419.4 150.6 -64.09
East UP Grain bowl 330.1 139.9 -57.62
West UP Grain bowl 253.2 105.5 -58.33
Punjab Grain bowl 171.9 87.8 -48.92
Har., Chd & Delhi Grain bowl 163.7 58.1 -64.51
Grain bowl Total 1803.9 815.2 -54.81
Assam & Meghalaya H.Plains & plateau 975.1 532.4 -45.40
H.Plains & plateau Total 975.1 532.4
Sikkim Him. WB Himalayan 918.9 627 -31.77
Arunachal Pradesh Himalayan 912.1 637.6 -30.10
N.M.M.T. Himalayan 607 326 -46.29
Uttarakhand Himalayan 456.4 263 -42.38
HP Himalayan 281.7 132.3 -53.04
Jammu & Kashmir Himalayan 178.1 142 -20.27
Himalayan Total 3354.2 2127.9 -36.56
A & N Islands Islands 680.5 727.2 6.86
Lakshadweep Islands 524.2 687.1 31.08
Islands Total 1204.7 1414.3 17.40
E. Rajasthan Low rainfall 216.2 200 -7.49
N. I. Karnataka Low rainfall 182.6 191.8 5.04
Rayalaseema Low rainfall 117.9 78.6 -33.33
W. Rajasthan Low rainfall 98.5 82.7 -16.04
Low rainfall Total 615.2 553.1 -10.09
Chattisgarh Plateau & Plains 467 431.2 -7.67
Jharkhand Plateau & Plains 432 252.6 -41.53
Vidarbha Plateau & Plains 402.2 361.1 -10.22
East MP Plateau & Plains 406.6 353.7 -13.01
Inner Gujarat & Daman Plateau & Plains 378.8 295.3 -22.04
Madhya Maharashtra Plateau & Plains 308.3 303.4 -1.59
West MP Plateau & Plains 316.3 293.1 -7.33
S. I. Karnataka Plateau & Plains 296.7 395.8 33.40
Telangana Plateau & Plains 293 171.6 -41.43
Marathwada Plateau & Plains 265.1 199.8 -24.63
Plateau & Plains Total 3566 3057.6 -14.26
Grand Total 16946.8 14278.6

Advisory to politicians:
So Mr. Sharad Powar, now is the time to pass on the reserve grains to the people.
Mr. Manmohan Singh & Mr Pranab Mukherjee look into real india and see that food distribution has no logistical problem.
The prices are already way too high for poor and common people, if you don't want law and order situation not to deteorate then ensure food for all. Surely you don't want food riots like Haiti.

Friday, July 10, 2009

Monsoon 2009


Every other politician like Mr. Sharad Pawar, Mr. Pranab Mukherjee has started giving meteorological forecast these days. The reality is depicted in the maps given above (source: Indian Met Office Website).
This is the rainfall map for 1st June to 8Th July.
So what FM claimed in NDTV interview, that Monsoon will make up with surplus rain in July.
Few points I need to mention over here:
1. Monsoon is a natural phenomenon (Sorry Its not on government payroll) and has no compulsion to fill up any deficits or to meet any target. It is only governed by many simple rules of physics.
2. If monsoon actually fills up the rainfall deficits upto now in next 14 days or so, the areas shown in red in the maps above will be flooded. This will bring more misery,not less.
3. This one is for all politicians:
You can not trade with nature for your survival, Just like a new born baby can not trade with the mother for the milk.